Primary care in an ageing society: a modelling approach (PCASO)

A three-year project funded by the Health Research Council of New Zealand. The overall aim of the research proposal was to establish a working, computer-based model of the primary care system in New Zealand in its social context and to test propositions about its functioning and development under different scenarios of demographic ageing.

Central were three elements – demographic ageing and associated morbidity, family and community capacity to cope, and practitioner and system response.

Data from existing sources were combined and used to estimate the key parameters for deployment in the microsimulation model. Advanced methodological techniques were applied in statistical matching, modelling and simulation.

The microsimulation model as at November 2009 was presented at the 2nd General Conference of the International Microsimulation Association. You can download from the conference website the associated paper and presentation.

2nd General Conference of the International Microsimulation Association website

Download the Conference paper

Download the Conference presentation