Dynamic microsimulation of programs and investments to reduce poverty and support development Event as iCalendar

(School of Social Sciences)

04 March 2016

3 - 4pm

Venue: Room 104, Fale Pasifika Complex (273-104)

Contact info: Dr Barry Milne

Contact email: b.milne@auckland.ac.nz

Website: COMPASS

Microsimulation is currently applied mostly in developed countries for the analysis and fine-tuning of policies with a longitudinal component like the sustainability of pension and health systems in the context of demographic change.

This discussion aims at assessing the potential strengths and limitations of dynamic microsimulation in the context of applications for the developing world. With its ability to simultaneously handle distributional issues, population change, and the potentially strong demographic down-stream effects of policies, dynamic microsimulation can serve as a powerful tool complementing conventional data analysis and projections.

Given the typically early stages in the design and implementation of social security systems, together with highly vulnerable populations, today's policy decisions potentially have huge impacts both on current living conditions and future development.

Dr Martin Spielauer is an expert in dynamic microsimulation with 15 years of experience in microsimulation modeling. He has developed or contributed to models in a wide range of subject matter fields including demography, education, saving and wealth, pension systems, poverty, and health. He has been engaged in microsimulation projects and microsimulation training around the world. Dr. Spielauer has published both in peer-reviewed journals as well as publications of governments and international agencies. He is currently working as an independent consultant providing technical assistance in microsimulation model development.

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